This question has puzzled me for upwards of twenty years, and I am not going to pretend to have the answer.
It is accepted as a truism that the election is really determined in 50-100 constituencies 'Key Marginals' and those of us living in 'safe' seats might as well stay at home for all the good it does.
2001 RESULT FOR STREATHAM
Labour 56.9%
Liberal Democrat 18.3%
Conservative 17.9%
Others 6.9%
This wasn't how I felt in 1992, though (see below)...
(and rest assured Keith, or friends of Keith, who may be reading, I will get my sorry arse over the road to VOTE KEITH on 5 May!)
I could recount anecdotes about the ward in Nottingham, where the highest placed but unelected Labour candidate came a mere two votes behind the lowest elected Conservative. This lead to the Conservatives having an overall majority of one seat on the two-party council, and, thus, overall control.
I could relate the story of a then colleague and husband, Labour Party members but not activists, who slinked away from the polling station, unable to meet the eyes of the Labour Teller, having tactically voted LibDem - the Lib Dems defeated the sitting Tory by 57 votes.
Or I could give you tales of the approximate method of counting votes - indeed, I will, but on another day...
Each vote can make a diference. In the way that if you keep putting your loose change in a jar, you suddenly find you have enough money for an airfare, or the deposit on a house. "Look after the pennies and the pounds will look after themselves."
But my vote doesn't matter.
At the risk of sounding dreadfully old-fashioned, I do believe that there is such a thing as society. It's not always what we do as individuals that count, but what we do as part of society.
You can rest assured that the far right extremist hate parties will be incredibly well organised to ensure that their supporters vote in their droves. I confidently believe that not one person who reads this blog will vote BNP (and Fuck Off if you do, your readership isn't wanted), so I say to all of you, if you have a BNP candidate standing in your constituency, please examine your conscience and cast your vote in a way that ensures that those hate-filled scum maggots are denied the oxygen of publicity, and, even worse, a Parliamentary seat.
For many years, I trotted out parrot fashion the phrase that many women sacrificed a great deal in order that I can vote. When I first stood for election in 1994, in Brixton's Town Hall Ward, and spent very many hours canvassing votes, I was overwhelmed by the number of black, mainly young-ish, people who said that they were going to vote, perhaps for the first time in their life, because they had been so moved by the scenes from the South African election, where black people were able to vote for the first time. Not that I count myself in the Nelson Mandela league...
There are also other considerations in casting a vote - even in a 'safe', one way or th'other seat, the vote eventually gets aggregated, and forms the historical record of the election, being used in the formulae for all those wonderful psephological games. I love psephology, me...!
I find it hard to formulate a convincing argument, even to myself, that me voting, or abstaining, or spoiling my ballot paper, or voting for a fringe party, can make any difference. To be honest, that is why, over the years, I have actively campaigned, stood for election (and won, and served eight years).
That is why I write to the media, that is why I lobby my MP, that is why I write stuff on this blog. My vote is only the key to unlocking my democratic participation. If you don't vote, you can't complain, I said yesterday. I actually think it should be - if you don't complain, you can't complain...!
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